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Old 04-23-2012, 05:18 PM   #1
beej67
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Default Prep Time 2012

As has unfortunately been proven through the last four years, prep time matters. Has anyone done a check on how many of our opponents get more than 1 week prep time this year?

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I'll do it, one sec..
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Old 04-23-2012, 05:23 PM   #2
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Default Re: Prep Time 2012

VT (all summer)
Presbyterian - ?
UVA - 7 days
Miami - 7 days
MTSU - 14 days
Clemson - 7 days
BC - 7 days
BYU - 7 days
Maryland - 7 days
UNC - 14 days
Duke - 14 days
UGA - 7 days
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Old 04-23-2012, 05:28 PM   #3
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Default Re: Prep Time 2012

That's not too bad. However I think ugay plays GaSo. a week before they play us. I don't know how you want to classify that.
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Old 04-23-2012, 05:31 PM   #4
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Default Re: Prep Time 2012

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That's not too bad. However I think ugay plays GaSo. a week before they play us. I don't know how you want to classify that.
Unless they pull a Wake I think it helps us.

(recall when Wake played Navy the week before, they switched defenses completely in the week, and we practiced against all the wrong fronts going into that game)
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Old 04-23-2012, 05:40 PM   #5
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If we can't beat MTSU regardless of prep time, we got bigger issues.
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Old 04-23-2012, 05:44 PM   #6
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If we can't beat MTSU regardless of prep time, we got bigger issues.
Same goes for Duke.

And I'm not entirely sure having all summer helps VT as much as just having two weeks helps for it. Especially since it's VT and they tend to lose focus in early games.

So overall, I think the Prep Time aspect of this year's schedule isn't terrible.
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Old 04-23-2012, 05:58 PM   #7
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This has not ever been proven once. There are too many variables to account for. Not enough data. Dead horse, etc. Seriously though, this stat is about as valid as any random superstition.

Some things you'd have to consider and account for to do this properly: how much prep time we have in addition to theirs, how much familiarity (consecutive years of play) we / they have with the offense, injuries, weather, home/away crowd advantage (and travel distance for the away team), the defensive style of the other team, the offensive style of the other team (run-based teams will reduce our yardage by reducing TOP), the rank of the other team, stadium directionality and time of day, and so much more. Not to mention, most are just looking at win/loss or straight yardage production when they should be looking at relative performances (how much yards per play does a team generally give up, and how much more/less did we get, versus how much more/less we usually get against teams with only 7 days prep time).

This is not one of those signals that comes out of the noise if you get enough data points, because you need to filter all of those data points several times first in order to determine if the cause of the dropoff is the prep time, or if the drop off is actually any worse for us than it is for other teams. There is just not enough data to do this, I've tried, with 10 years of CPJ data.
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Old 04-23-2012, 06:01 PM   #8
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Default Re: Prep Time 2012

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Unless they pull a Wake I think it helps us.

(recall when Wake played Navy the week before, they switched defenses completely in the week, and we practiced against all the wrong fronts going into that game)
CPJ could use it to our advantage.

Also I think VPI won't be as out of focus as we expect, both sides know the importance of this game, but I also think our guys will probably play their best game against VPI.
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Old 04-23-2012, 06:03 PM   #9
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Default Re: Prep Time 2012

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Unless they pull a Wake I think it helps us.

(recall when Wake played Navy the week before, they switched defenses completely in the week, and we practiced against all the wrong fronts going into that game)
X's/O's: ADVANTAGE (wash). CPJ vs Grantham part 3. Both will have a good feeling for what the other wants to do before either game is played. If this was going to be the first time CPJ went against Grantham I would say advantage GT, but its not.

Timing/Technique: ADVANTAGE (ugay). They get an extra week to adjust to the speed of the 3-O and our blocking techniques.

Personnel game planning: ADVANTAGE GT. We get to see what personnel strengths/weaknesses ugay has first hand against the 3-O. If they have any players that are "cheating" or weak getting off the cut block, you can bet CPJ will see it on tape and try to exploit them.
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Old 04-23-2012, 06:12 PM   #10
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Default Re: Prep Time 2012

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This has not ever been proven once.

...

There is just not enough data to do this, I've tried, with 10 years of CPJ data.
No, actually it's quite proven for CPJ's tenure at GT, vs GT's level of competition. And last year just added more data points to the trend.

Try it.
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